SaaS Metrics Explained — MRR, Churn, LTV for Solo Founders
The only three metrics that matter when you are a solo founder. How to calculate them, what good looks like, and what to do when they are bad.
When you are a solo founder, you don't have time to track 50 metrics. You only need three: MRR, Churn, and LTV. Everything else is a distraction.
MRR — Monthly Recurring Revenue
MRR is the lifeblood of your SaaS. It tells you if your business is growing or dying.
MRR = Active Customers × Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)What Good Looks Like
| Stage | MRR Range | Focus |
|---|---|---|
| Idea | $0 | Get first customer |
| Validation | $0 - $1K | Find repeatable acquisition channel |
| Survival | $1K - $5K | Reduce churn |
| Ramen profitable | $5K - $10K | Optimize pricing |
| Full-time | $10K+ | Hire or automate |
Net New MRR
Track net new MRR — not just total MRR. If net new MRR is negative, you're shrinking even if total MRR looks fine.
Net New MRR = New MRR + Expansion MRR - Churned MRR - Contraction MRRChurn Rate
Churn is the silent killer of SaaS businesses. Even great products lose 3-5% of customers per month.
Monthly Churn Rate = (Customers Lost / Customers at Start) × 100Healthy Benchmarks
- < 2% monthly — World class
- 2-5% monthly — Good for early stage
- 5-7% monthly — Needs attention
- > 7% monthly — Critical issue
Customer Lifetime
Your churn rate determines how long customers stay. At 2.5% monthly churn, the average customer stays 40 months. At 7%, they stay 14 months.
Average Lifetime (months) = 1 / Monthly Churn RateLTV — Customer Lifetime Value
LTV = ARPU × Gross Margin / Monthly Churn RateIf your ARPU is $99, gross margin is 80%, and monthly churn is 2.5%: LTV = (99 × 0.80) / 0.025 = $3,168. Each customer is worth roughly $3,168 to you.
LTV:CAC Ratio
- 3:1+ — Healthy business
- 1:1 to 3:1 — Marginal, needs optimization
- < 1:1 — You lose money on every customer
CAC Payback Period
How long to recover what you spent acquiring a customer. Aim for under 12 months. Under 6 is excellent.
CAC Payback = CAC / (ARPU × Gross Margin)